MIT EAPS Directory

Erwan Monier

Principal Research Scientist

Erwan Monier is interested in earth system modeling, climate change and variability, and climate change impacts. His research focuses on quantifying the uncertainty in future global and regional climate projections and estimating the contributions from various sources of uncertainty, including the uncertainty in the global climate system response, emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols, natural variability, future land use change as well as climate model structural uncertainty. He has been a contributor to the intercomparison project with Earth System Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMICs) undertaken in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). He is also a lead climate scientist for the Climate Change Impacts and Risk Analysis (CIRA) project led by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Within this project, he has been involved in various climate impact assessments including the impacts of climate change on agriculture and water resources, on wildfires and terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage, and on air quality and health.


Garcia-Menendez F, Monier E, Selin NE (2017) The role of natural variability in projections of climate change impacts on U.S. ozone pollution. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 2911-2921, doi: 10.1002/2016GL071565.

Kim JB, Monier E, Sohngen B, Pitts G, Drapek R, McFarland J, Ohrel S, Cole J (2017) Assessing climate change impacts, benefits of mitigation, and uncertainties on major global forest regions under multiple socioeconomic and emissions scenarios. Environ. Res. Lett., 12, 045001, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa63fc.

Gao X, Schlosser CA, O'Gorman P, Monier E, Entekhabi D (2017) Twenty-First-Century Changes in U.S. Regional Heavy Precipitation Frequency Based on Resolved Atmospheric Patterns. J. Climate, 30, 2501-2521, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0544.1.

Monier E, Xu L, Snyder R (2016) Uncertainty in future agro-climate projections in the United States and benefits of greenhouse gas mitigation. Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 055001, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055001.

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